Analysis – Page 8
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Analysis
Global M&A on track for record-breaking year
Global acquirers are on track to record their first annual market outperformance since 2016 - Willis Towers Watson
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ESG shaping construction risk profiles
Global construction output is expected to grow by 42% by 2030, driven largely by government stimuli - report
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Supply chain disruption dents confidence
Half of businesses expect supply chain disruptions to continue beyond the middle of 2022 - Oxford Economics
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Covid-19 drives losses of £2bn for Lloyd’s
’Financial pressures will continue to affect businesses’ as economies emerge from the pandemic - Insurance DataLab
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2021 on target for economic growth of 6.2% - Atradius
Pace of recovery is “generally surprising” among advanced markets, but new COVID variants pose a threat
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Boards sharpen focus on external risks - McKinsey
Directors seeking to identify risks that can “test a company’s resilience”, including political risk and the climate crisis
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Rome to feel as hot as Agadir, Morocco, by 2050
European cities will increasingly experience pressure on power and water supplies due to regular heatwaves, warns Verisk Maplecroft
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Analysis
BoE launches climate stress test for banks, insurers
It will provide central banks and supervisors globally with a common starting point for analysing climate risks under different scenarios
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COVID masks Brexit impact on UK-EU trade
UK trade with the EU has declined at twice the rate as trade with the rest of the world - Atradius
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Emerging risks and the “COVID effect”
Government support programmes have kept alive unviable zombie companies, while wealth inequality has broadened, finds Swiss Re SONAR
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Firms facing period of transformative change
COVID-crisis will lead to a new period of rapid, transformative growth and prosperity, predicts Studio 44
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Physical climate risk to test limits of diversification - Fitch
Companies with strong internal coordination and contingency planning will be better placed to respond to climate shocks
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Semiconductor shortage disrupts supply chains
Scarcity is expected to be short-lived but will cause problems for sectors including electronics and motor, according to Oxford Economics
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Analysis
FERMA welcomes ‘Open Insurance’ initiative
A more transparent commercial insurance market will have “tremendous value” for risk and insurance managers
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Geneva Association urges action on pandemic backstop
Governments must take on role of insurer-of-last-resort in future pandemic risk solutions, finds thinktank
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Global climate stress test launches on Earth Day 2021
World economy set to lose up to 18% GDP from climate change if no action taken - Swiss Re Institute
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France/Austria amongst hardest hit by insolvencies
Global corporate bankruptcies are forecast to increase by 26% in 2021 as fiscal support is gradually phased out
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Brexit: Over 440 financial firms have relocated
Study finds over £900 billion in bank assets and £100 billion in insurance funds have been moved from the UK to the EU
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Digital disruption tops banks' emerging risks
Untimely adoption may drive sudden changes to information security, change management, business continuity and third-party risk exposures
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Analysis
Social inequality shapes political risk map
Pandemic-induced economic stress will continue to exacerbate global political risk throughout 2021, according to Marsh