’Quadruple threat’ of rising prices, fallout from Brexit and the pandemic, and bad weather could see insolvencies soar

Atradius has reported a 79% increase in claims for late and failed payments in the food sector amid national supply shortages of products like eggs and some vegetables.

It’s data also shows the agriculture sector saw claims more than double (119% increase) last year.

A rise in claims received in the sector indicates the number of retailers failing to pay their suppliers has risen exponentially over the last 12 months, as firms struggle to return to business as usual.

Georgios Panzaris, senior underwriter at the trade credit insurer, acknowledged it had been a challenging few years in the food industry.

“Ongoing supply issues look set to continue as the sector battles with the quadruple threat of rising prices, ongoing fallout from Brexit and the pandemic, and bad weather conditions.

“The empty shelves shoppers are seeing have different root causes. Egg shortages are largely down to farmers being hit by the rising costs of feed, energy and labour, not to mention the largest Avian Flu outbreak we’ve ever seen, with undersupply at risk of persisting for months.

“Meanwhile vegetable producers are facing similar challenges alongside unfavourable weather conditions, with lower crop yields affecting supply. Put simply, farmers are facing a raft of challenges in an already volatile environment.”

Insolvency threat grows

The insurer’s data on late and failed payments paint a bleak picture, continued Panzaris.

“The number of claims we received in the sector for late and failed payments up by 79% in the food sector, and a huge 119% in the agriculture sector last year.

“This follows a relatively subdued period in 2021 where businesses could benefit from ongoing government support put in place during the pandemic. But with no such support in place this year, firms will be bracing themselves for the coming months.

“Companies that have traditionally operated on thin margins will be particularly vulnerable to volatile market conditions, but even the biggest players are being tested.

”With insolvency a real risk, businesses need to do all they can to ensure they are protecting cash flow so they can mitigate the risk of a large customer failing unexpectedly.

“It’s crucial businesses have robust and updated financial insight and forecasts. To guard against the domino effect that crumbling supply chains can have on firms, a trade credit insurance policy can play a very important role in maintaining a company’s confidence in its trade debtor book.”